Offensive Shot Efficiency Analysis
1.1 Shooting Percentages by Location
| Shot Location |
FIBA |
NBA (2024-25) |
NCAA |
Elite Performers |
| At the Rim (Layups/Dunks) |
65-70% |
68-72% |
65-70% |
Obi Toppin (74.1%), Jarrett Allen (71.7%) |
| Mid-Range (2-Pointers) |
40-45% |
42-46% |
40-45% |
Kevin Durant (52.3%), Jaren Jackson Jr. (56.7%) |
| Corner 3-Pointers |
38-42% |
40-44% |
37-42% |
Taurean Prince (50.6%), Corey Kispert (45.2%) |
| Above-the-Break 3-Pointers |
35-40% |
36-40% |
34-39% |
Zach LaVine (42.4%), Stephen Curry (41.2%) |
| Post-Up Shots |
45-50% |
48-52% |
45-50% |
Nikola Jokić (58.3%), Joel Embiid (54.1%) |
1.2 Points Per Possession (PPP) by Position and Shot Location
| Position |
At the Rim |
Mid-Range |
Corner 3s |
Above-Break 3s |
Post-Up |
| Point Guard |
1.25 PPP |
0.95 PPP |
1.15 PPP |
1.05 PPP |
0.85 PPP |
| Shooting Guard |
1.20 PPP |
0.90 PPP |
1.10 PPP |
1.00 PPP |
0.80 PPP |
| Small Forward |
1.25 PPP |
0.95 PPP |
1.15 PPP |
1.05 PPP |
0.85 PPP |
| Power Forward |
1.30 PPP |
1.00 PPP |
1.20 PPP |
1.10 PPP |
0.90 PPP |
| Center |
1.40 PPP |
1.05 PPP |
1.25 PPP |
1.15 PPP |
0.95 PPP |
Shot Distribution Evolution (NBA)
🎯 Key Shooting Zone Insights
- Centers achieve highest PPP at the rim (1.40) - prioritize interior positioning
- Corner 3s provide best perimeter efficiency across all positions
- Mid-range shots now comprise <10% of NBA attempts - lowest in history
- Elite rim finishers exceed 70% while league average drops to 57.1%
- 3-point volume explosion: 42.1% of all NBA shots in 2024-25
Basketball Move Effectiveness Analysis
2.1 Finishing Moves Effectiveness
| Move |
Effectiveness Rate (%) |
Points per Possession |
Notable Practitioners |
| Standard Layup |
62.5 |
1.25 |
Tony Parker, Russell Westbrook, Kyrie Irving |
| Hook Shot |
55.3 |
1.15 |
Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (Skyhook), Tim Duncan, Dwight Howard |
| Baseline Drive Layup |
54.6 |
1.15 |
Michael Jordan, Kobe Bryant, DeMar DeRozan |
| Eurostep |
52.4 |
1.10 |
Manu Ginóbili (popularizer), Giannis Antetokounmpo, James Harden |
| Finger Roll |
50.1 |
1.05 |
George Gervin "The Iceman", Wilt Chamberlain, Chris Paul |
| Floater |
46.7 |
1.05 |
Tony Parker, Derrick Rose, Trae Young |
| Scoop Shot |
47.8 |
1.00 |
Magic Johnson, Steve Nash, Rajon Rondo |
| Reverse Layup |
48.6 |
1.00 |
Michael Jordan, Kyrie Irving, John Wall |
| Spinning Layup |
44.2 |
0.90 |
David Robinson, Tim Duncan, Blake Griffin |
| Fadeaway Layup |
42.3 |
0.95 |
Kobe Bryant, Paul Pierce, LeBron James |
Shooting Moves Effectiveness
| Move |
Effectiveness Rate (%) |
Points per Possession |
Notable Practitioners |
| Catch and Shoot |
42.5 |
1.20 |
Klay Thompson, Kyle Korver, JJ Redick |
| Midrange Shot with Glass |
40.3 |
1.05 |
Tim Duncan, Dirk Nowitzki, Chris Bosh |
| 3-Point Catch and Shoot |
37.8 |
1.15 |
Stephen Curry, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro |
| Stepback 3-Pointer |
35.6 |
1.10 |
James Harden (originator), Luka Dončić, Damian Lillard |
| Pull-Up Jumper |
35.2 |
0.95 |
Kevin Durant, Kawhi Leonard, CJ McCollum |
| Turnaround Jumper |
36.7 |
0.95 |
Michael Jordan, Kobe Bryant, DeMar DeRozan |
| Fadeaway |
33.4 |
0.90 |
Dirk Nowitzki (one-legged), Kareem Abdul-Jabbar |
| Contested Jumper |
31.5 |
0.85 |
Kobe Bryant, Russell Westbrook, LeBron James |
| Off-Balance Shot |
29.4 |
0.80 |
Stephen Curry, Kyrie Irving (circus shots) |
Shooting Move Efficiency Comparison
Triple Threat Moves Effectiveness
| Move |
Effectiveness Rate (%) |
Points per Possession |
Notable Practitioners |
| Jab Step to Drive |
45.7 |
1.15 |
Carmelo Anthony, Paul Pierce, Kevin Durant |
| Pump Fake Drive |
44.6 |
1.10 |
LeBron James, Kawhi Leonard, Jimmy Butler |
| Quick Pull-Up after Jab |
42.3 |
1.05 |
Kobe Bryant, Paul George, Jayson Tatum |
| Jab Step Shot |
41.2 |
1.05 |
Michael Jordan, Tracy McGrady, Brandon Roy |
| Hesitation Pump Fake |
40.5 |
1.00 |
James Harden, Chris Paul, Kyrie Irving |
| Pass Fake to Shot |
39.8 |
1.00 |
Larry Bird, Dirk Nowitzki, Steve Nash |
| Triple Threat Crossover |
38.9 |
0.95 |
Allen Iverson, Tim Hardaway, Kyrie Irving |
| Shot Fake to Step Back |
37.6 |
0.95 |
Kobe Bryant, Kevin Durant, Damian Lillard |
Dribble Moves Effectiveness
| Move |
Effectiveness Rate (%) |
Points per Possession |
Inventor/Pioneer |
Modern Masters |
| Standard Crossover |
47.3 |
1.05 |
Bob Cousy (1950s) |
Chris Paul, John Stockton, Steve Nash |
| Quick Stop Dribble |
46.2 |
1.10 |
Jerry West (1960s) |
Damian Lillard, Chris Paul, Stephen Curry |
| Killer Crossover |
45.8 |
1.05 |
Tim Hardaway Sr. (UTEP Two-Step) |
Allen Iverson (popularizer), Kyrie Irving |
| Hesitation Dribble |
44.7 |
1.00 |
Pete Maravich (1970s) |
James Harden (hesi-step back), Russell Westbrook |
| Drag Dribble |
43.5 |
0.95 |
Michael Jordan (late 1980s) |
Dwyane Wade, Paul George, Luka Dončić |
| Spin Dribble |
42.1 |
0.95 |
Walt Frazier (1970s) |
Tony Parker (lane specialist), Derrick Rose |
| Between-the-Legs |
40.2 |
0.95 |
Bob Cousy (fundamentals) |
Kyrie Irving, Jason Williams, Jamal Crawford |
| Behind-the-Back |
35.6 |
0.85 |
Pete Maravich (pioneer) |
Magic Johnson, Ricky Rubio, Ja Morant |
Advanced Analytics & Trends
League Evolution - Historical Perspective
| Season |
3PA Rate |
Mid-Range Rate |
eFG% |
Pace |
Offensive Rating |
| 2010-11 |
22.2% |
35.1% |
49.6% |
92.1 |
106.3 |
| 2015-16 |
27.0% |
28.3% |
50.4% |
95.8 |
108.8 |
| 2020-21 |
39.2% |
17.2% |
54.7% |
99.2 |
112.1 |
| 2024-25 |
42.1% |
9.8% |
56.3% |
100.1 |
115.6 |
NBA Shot Distribution Evolution (2010-2025)
📊 Analytics Revolution Insights
- Mid-range shots dropped from 35% to under 10% in 15 years
- 3-point rate nearly doubled from 22% to 42% since 2010
- Offensive rating increased 9.3 points despite shot difficulty
- Elite teams now attempt 50%+ shots from beyond the arc
- Analytics prove 2-for-1 value: corner 3s = 1.2x mid-range efficiency